Baldwin Corporation is a public corporation listed on New
York Stock Exchange (NYSE) market. The company researches, develops,
manufactures, and sells various products in the health care industry worldwide.
Baldwin Inc. operates in three main segments: Consumer, Pharmaceutical, and
Medical Devices segments. The primary corporate objective of the company is to
maximize the value of the owners’ equity by increasing the price of its shares
in the stock market. Unfortunately, the company’s stock price has been
declining over the past year because of declining sales, cash flow
uncertainties, and weak financial ratios. The Board of Directors have hired a
new CFO, Gregg Williams to turnaround the fortunes of the company. Gregg earned
his PhD in Finance from UC in 2018. After his MBA he worked for five years as
sales and marketing consultant for a pharmaceutical company. As a result, Gregg
does not have much work experience in corporate finance, although in his
graduate finance courses, he learnt about time value of money and its
applications in financial and investment decisions.
Despite his lack of experience in corporate finance, Gregg
wants to create value for the company through efficient management of working
capital, and prudent capital budgeting activities by expanding the company’s
products into new markets. He is considering a capital investment either in the
State of Ohio or North Dakota because of growing market demand for the
company’s products in both States and the recent changes to the States’ tax
legislations that give tax incentives to new companies. The company has
announced plans to invest about $2.2 million in its Medical Devices and
Pharmaceutical segments. Gregg believes that decisions such as these, with
price tags in the millions, are obviously major undertakings, and the risks and
rewards must be carefully weighed. Gregg knows that good financial decisions
increase the value of a company’s stock, and poor financial decisions decrease
the value of the stock. Gregg is working hard to make Baldwin Inc. one of the
leading firms in the health care industry.
Gregg has been reading articles in financial journals on
capital budgeting decisions and risk analysis. He has written down the
following ideas on project evaluation techniques from book chapters and
peer-reviewed articles:
1. The most popular capital budgeting techniques used
in practice to evaluate and select projects are payback period, Net Present
Value (NPV), and Internal Rate of Return (IRR).
2. Payback period is the number of years
required for a company to recover the initial investment cost.
3. Net Present Value (NPV) technique: NPV
is found by subtracting a project’s initial cost of investment from the present
value of its cash flows discounted using the firm’s weighted average cost of
capital. It shows the absolute amount of money in dollars that the project is
expected to generate.
Decision
Criteria of NPV
If NPV > 0, accept the project
If NPV < 0, reject the project
The decision rule for mutually exclusive project is to
select the project with the highest NPV.
4. Internal Rate of Return (IRR) is the
intrinsic rate of return the project is likely to generate. The IRR is the
discount rate or the rate of return that will equate the present value of the
cash outflows with the present value of the cash inflows (i.e. NPV = 0).
Decision Rule:
Accept the project if IRR > cost of capital
Reject the project if IRR < cost of capital
Exhibit 1: The expected cash flows in US$ from the
project in Ohio and North Dakota.
Year |
Cash flow (Ohio) |
Cash flow (ND) |
0 |
(2,000,000) |
(2,200,000) |
1 |
180,000.00 |
150,000.00 |
2 |
240,000.00 |
180,000.00 |
3 |
280,000.00 |
200,000.00 |
4 |
300,000.00 |
290,000.00 |
5 |
520,000.00 |
380,000.00 |
6 |
480,000.00 |
590,000.00 |
7 |
530,000.00 |
410,000.00 |
8 |
585,000.00 |
583,000.00 |
9 |
590,000.00 |
580,000.00 |
10 |
592,000.00 |
620,000.00 |
The company’s policy is to select projects using NPV
technique.
Questions
1. You have been hired as a financial consultant to help
evaluate the project. Baldwin Inc. wants you to do the following:
a. Calculate the payback period for the two
projects.
b. Calculate the IRR of both
projects.
c. Use the NPV technique to recommend which
investment project it should accept, assuming the cost of capital of
financing the Ohio project is 12% and 10% for the North Dakota project?
2. Gregg knows how bad forecast can ruin capital budgeting
decisions. If the cost of capital changes from 12% to 13% for Ohio project and
remains the same for ND project, does the company have to pursue the project?
3. Gregg wants to analyze the risk of the project
using sensitivity analysis and Monte Carlo simulation.
a. Explain to Baldwin Inc. how the two risk analysis models
can be used to analyze risk of the project.
4. Gregg has estimated the fixed costs (including
depreciation) of the Ohio project to be $1.5 million, sales price is $130, and
the variable cost is $70, giving a contribution margin of $60. What is
the break-even quantity for this project?
5. Baldwin Inc. wants to know the likely effect of
the capital budgeting decision on its stock price (increase, decrease, no
change, or not sure). Choose one and explain why.
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